Everton vs Manchester City Prediction & Key Stats | AI Predicts | 27th December 2023

The Goodison Park will host Everton taking on Manchester City in the Game Week 19 of the English Premier League. City are coming from fresh Club World Cup win and will be looking to assert dominance in the league. Sit back and relax as we and the AI predict the winner of this game at the end of 90 minutes.

Everton Recent form

The toffees had the opportunity to make history by winning five consecutive Premier League away games and securing five consecutive wins in total at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. However, Tottenham’s Richarlison scored early on, followed by a goal from Son Heung-min within the first 20 minutes. Despite Everton’s persistent attacks, they only managed to score through Andre Gomes in the 82nd minute. Former Tottenham loanee Arnaut Danjuma came close to equalizing in the final moments, but Tottenham ultimately emerged victorious. Everton’s EFL Cup quarter-final exit at the hands of Fulham also dampened their spirits. Although Sean Dyche’s team put in a good effort, wins for Luton Town and Burnley mean Everton currently sit in 16th place and have only a four-point lead over the relegation zone. Nevertheless, Everton have recently found success at home, winning against Chelsea and Newcastle United without conceding any goals in their last two Goodison Park Premier League matches.

Manchester City’s Recent form

In just three hours, Manchester City achieved global domination in the Middle East during a successful stint in Saudi Arabia. They easily defeated Urawa Red Diamonds in the Club World Cup semi-final and then faced off against Copa Libertadores winners Fluminense in the final. Despite Fluminense’s commendable playing style, Man City completely dismantled them, thanks to Julian Alvarez scoring twice, a tap-in goal from Phil Foden, and an own goal from Nino. This victory marked their first time being crowned world club champions and was referred to by Guardiola as the “closing of the circle.”

After their triumph in the Club World Cup, the reigning English, European, and world champions return to the Premier League with renewed determination. Their departure for Saudi Arabia came after a disappointing 2-2 draw with Crystal Palace, where they let slip a two-goal lead, leaving the Etihad faithful feeling aggrieved. With only one win in their last six league matches, Man City found themselves outside of the top Champions League spots on Christmas Day, sitting in fifth place. However, Tottenham Hotspur, who are currently in fourth place, are only two points ahead of Guardiola’s team, despite having played an extra game.

There is still hope for Man City, as their trademark second-half-of-season surge could kick in at any moment. Additionally, they have scored at least two goals in their last five games, building confidence ahead of their upcoming match against Everton. Historically, Man City has had great success against Everton, winning 11 of their last 12 meetings in all competitions, including a dominant 3-0 victory in May.

Everton vs Manchester City Key Stats

  • Everton has struggled against Manchester City, winning just one of their last 20 Premier League encounters (drawn five, lost 14) and remaining winless in 12 games against City since January 2017.
  • Manchester City boasts a strong away record against Everton, winning their last six league games at Goodison Park, with four of those victories witnessing them score at least three goals, marking an improvement from their earlier visits.
  • Despite their overall strength, Manchester City has experienced a slight dip in form, winning only one of their last six Premier League games, a situation not seen since February/March 2016.
  • Everton’s manager Sean Dyche faces a challenging record against Manchester City’s Pep Guardiola, having lost 12 out of 13 Premier League meetings and drawing once, including nine consecutive losses with an aggregate score of 29-1, contrasting his earlier unbeaten record against City in the top-flight before Guardiola’s tenure.
  • Manchester City has faced difficulties closing out games in the Premier League this season, failing to win three matches after conceding goals in the 90th minute against Chelsea (4-4), Tottenham (3-3), and Crystal Palace (2-2).
  • Abdoulaye Doucoure’s recent goal-scoring form at home has coincided with Everton’s success, with the team winning all six of their home league games in which he has scored, and he has contributed to all three of Everton’s victories at Goodison Park so far this season.

AI Predicts Winner of Everton vs Manchester City

We gave the stats, recent head-to-head game facts, and current form of both the teams to Natural Language processing AIs (ChatGpt and Bard), and here are the results.

ChatGPT’s prediction 

“Considering Manchester City’s dominance in recent encounters and their strong away record against Everton, they appear poised for victory. However, Everton’s home form, especially when Abdoulaye Doucoure scores, could pose a challenge, potentially affecting the game’s outcome but City seems slightly favored due to their historical edge and recent performances.”


Bards’s prediction 

“Manchester City are heavily favored despite their recent hiccups, riding their dominant historical advantage against Everton and Dyche’s Guardiola nightmare, while Everton’s home goalscoring hope might just spark an upset through Doucoure.”

Our Experts Predict the Winner of Everton vs Manchester City

To prevent Dyche’s team from damaging Man City’s chances of winning the title, Everton will need to have a strong defensive strategy. However, Everton had shown improvement in their defensive skills before losing to Tottenham, who faced some challenges in their victory. It remains uncertain if Everton can penetrate Man City’s resolute defense. Although the champions may not deliver an exceptional Premier League performance, they should only need one goal to make a powerful comeback.

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