Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction & Key Stats | AI Predicts | 7th January 2024

Emirates Stadium will host Arsenal taking on Liverpool in Round 3 of the English FA Cup. Both are battling for the Premier League title and will be looking to one up in the Cup fixture as well. The losing team will exit from the tournament. Sit back and relax as we and the AI predict the winner of this game at the end of 90 minutes.

Arsenal Recent form

After Arsenal’s disappointing loss to West Ham United on December 28, Mikel Arteta expressed his belief that Arsenal performed better in both defense and offense. However, he acknowledged that they were outplayed by their opponents in their subsequent match against Craven Cottage. Despite an early goal from Bukayo Saka, Marco Silva’s team dominated the game and secured victory with goals from Raul Jimenez and Bobby Decordova-Reid. Arsenal’s weaknesses in defending set-pieces were once again exposed. With their lackluster attacking display, Arsenal missed the opportunity to end the calendar year in first place and now find themselves in an unappealing fourth position after a string of underwhelming festive matches, with only one win in their last six games.

As the management explores options for potential squad additions in the challenging January transfer window, it is evident that signing a new left-back is a priority due to financial limitations in acquiring midfielders and strikers. Meanwhile, Arsenal’s focus turns to the FA Cup, a competition they have historically excelled in with 14 victories. However, their quest to win the trophy has been marred by recent disappointments, as they have failed to progress beyond the fourth round since their triumph in 2020 and were eliminated by Manchester City in the 2022-23 campaign. The defeat to West Ham also marked the first time in 13 Emirates matches that Arteta’s team failed to score at home.

Liverpool Recent form

Liverpool experienced frustration in front of their home fans on New Year’s Day as they wasted chances and allowed Newcastle United to keep a clean sheet with the help of a penalty save from Martin Dubravka against Mohamed Salah. Despite Alexander Isak and Sven Botman scoring against Alisson Becker, Liverpool eventually found their scoring touch and secured four goals through Salah, Curtis Jones, and Cody Gakpo. This remarkable performance saw Liverpool achieve an unprecedented 7.27 expected goals (xG), the highest ever recorded by an English top-flight team. As a result, they now hold a three-point lead over Aston Villa in the Premier League standings.

Liverpool’s next challenge is in the FA Cup, where they aim to win their ninth title. However, they were eliminated in the fourth round by Brighton & Hove Albion last season, ending their defense of the 2021-22 crown. Additionally, Liverpool have been unsuccessful in their recent FA Cup meetings with Arsenal, who defeated them 2-1 in the 2013-14 season and have remained unbeaten in their last three encounters, including a chaotic 1-1 draw at Anfield in December.

Arsenal vs Liverpool Key Stats

  • On 7th January 2024, Arsenal and Liverpool face off in the FA Cup, with their last encounter resulting in a 3-4 victory for Liverpool.
  • Over the seasons, in 40 meetings, Arsenal has won 10 matches, while Liverpool secured victories in 12, and 18 games ended in a draw.
  • Arsenal maintains an average home form while Liverpool’s performance on away grounds is at an average level.
  • Previous matches between Arsenal and Liverpool have seen an average of 3.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 70% of these encounters.
  • In the current FA Cup season, Arsenal and Liverpool both maintain an equal average of 2.25 Points Per Game in their respective home and away matches.

AI Predicts Winner of Arsenal vs Liverpool

We gave the stats, recent head-to-head game facts, and current form of both the teams to Natural Language processing AIs (ChatGpt and Bard), and here are the results.

ChatGPT’s prediction 

“It’s tough to predict, but considering their historical encounters, current form, and identical points per game in the FA Cup, it might end in a draw or a slight edge for Liverpool due to their higher overall wins against Arsenal. Both teams seem evenly matched, potentially leading to a closely contested game.”

Bards’s prediction 

“This one’s a toss-up! Both Arsenal and Liverpool have identical FA Cup form (2.25 PPG) and average goals (3.4), and their head-to-head matchups are historically tight (10 wins each, 18 draws). Expect a high-scoring thriller (70% BTTS historically), but the home advantage could give Arsenal a slight edge for the victory. Buckle up for a nail-biter!”

Our Experts Predict Winner of Arsenal vs Liverpool

Given Arsenal’s recent lack of effectiveness in the attacking third, it will be interesting to witness how Liverpool manages without Salah’s offensive contributions. Additionally, Liverpool will be missing Endo and Szoboszlai in midfield, which will diminish their overall strength. Although we anticipate a fully equipped Liverpool squad to secure a victory at the Emirates this weekend, the absence of an irreplaceable attacker may result in a draw against an Arsenal team seeking redemption. Consequently, both managers would likely prefer to avoid a replay.

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