Arsenal vs West Ham United Prediction & Key Stats | AI Predicts | 28th December 2023

The Emirates Stadium will host Arsenal taking on West Ham United in the Game Week 19 of the English Premier League. Arsenal have won half the battle by being at the top of the league till Christmas. Can they continue the momentum in the second half? Sit back and relax as we and the AI predict the winner of this game at the end of 90 minutes. If you liked our content do subscribe to our daily newsletter for daily predictions.

Arsenal Recent form

Aston Villa’s failure to extend their impressive home winning streak in the Premier League against Sheffield United on Friday night opened the door for Arsenal and Liverpool to compete for the title of ‘winter champions’ on Christmas morning. Arsenal, led by Mikel Arteta, seemed poised to end their 11-year winless drought at Anfield with a quick goal from Gabriel Magalhaes in the fourth minute, the fastest goal Arsenal has ever scored at Anfield in the Premier League. However, Mohamed Salah’s powerful finish equalized the score for Jurgen Klopp’s team just 25 minutes later.

Despite escaping some controversial decisions and a dangerous counter-attack, Arsenal managed to secure a draw and maintain their position ahead of Liverpool at the top of the league. However, Arsenal fans should temper their Christmas celebrations as their team has yet to win the league in a season where they were at the top on December 25. Furthermore, if Liverpool and Villa both win on Boxing Day, Arsenal could drop to third place. Initially, their recent record of just one win in their last four matches in all competitions may seem underwhelming.
However, when playing at home, Arsenal has a strong track record. They recently secured a 2-0 victory against Brighton & Hove Albion, which marked their fifth consecutive Premier League win at the Emirates Stadium. Additionally, it has been more than two years since Arsenal lost a Premier League match against another London team at home. Since their defeat against Chelsea in August 2021, Arsenal has won eight and drawn four all-London matches.

West Ham United’s Recent form

However, West Ham has already had success against Manchester United in this season’s EFL Cup. Although they were ultimately defeated by Liverpool in the tournament, David Moyes saw his team respond well against his former club. The first half of the match between West Ham and Man United was dull, but the dynamic duo of Jarrod Bowen and Mohammed Kudus performed exceptionally well in the second half, leading to another familiar Premier League defeat for Erik ten Hag’s struggling team.

Despite losing to Fulham in a 5-0 demolition during a London derby, West Ham has been in great form, winning five out of seven top-flight games. They are currently in sixth place in the table and have a chance to secure a Champions League spot, although they could be overtaken by both Man United and Newcastle United depending on their performances on December 26.

In November’s EFL Cup fourth-round match, West Ham convincingly defeated Arsenal 3-1 at home. However, Arsenal got revenge on Boxing Day 2022, winning with the same scoreline and with Arsene Wenger in attendance.

Arsenal vs West Ham United Key Stats

  •  Arsenal holds a dominant record at home against West Ham, winning 12 of their last 13 league games, with a single exception—a 2-0 loss in the 2015-16 season opener.
  • West Ham has faced significant struggles against Arsenal, losing 35 Premier League matches, a number equal to their tally against Liverpool, marking a challenging historical record.
  • Historical statistics show that the Premier League leaders on Christmas Day have won the title in 10 out of the last 14 seasons, but Arsenal hasn’t clinched the title in the last six seasons when leading on December 25th.
  • Arsenal boasts an impressive unbeaten streak of 17 Premier League games against fellow London clubs, winning 12 and drawing 5 since their defeat at Spurs in May 2022.
  • Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal has maintained an undefeated home record in their last 13 fixtures across league and cup competitions, winning 11 and drawing 2, with seven consecutive victories and an aggregate score of 21-2 in the previous seven games.
  • Bukayo Saka’s exceptional form at home sees him involved in 18 goals across 17 home appearances in various competitions, contributing with 11 goals and seven assists, highlighting his significance in Arsenal’s performances at home.

AI Predicts Winner of Arsenal vs West Ham United

We gave the stats, recent head-to-head game facts, and current form of both the teams to Natural Language processing AIs (ChatGpt and Bard), and here are the results.

ChatGPT’s prediction 

“Based on historical trends and current form, Arsenal seems poised for victory due to their dominant home record against West Ham, their unbeaten streak against London clubs, and impressive home form. However, West Ham’s recent performances and goal-scoring abilities might challenge Arsenal, making the outcome somewhat uncertain but leaning toward an Arsenal win due to their historical and current advantages.”


Bards’s prediction 

“Despite West Ham’s recent surge and Bowen’s goal chase, Arsenal’s dominant home record against them coupled with their unbeaten London run and Arteta’s strong home form tilt the scales towards a narrow Gunners victory.”

Our Experts Predict Winner of Arsenal vs West Ham United

Arsenal did not earn or achieve anything in their previous EFL Cup match against West Ham some weeks ago. However, when it comes to gaining Premier League points at the Emirates Stadium, Arteta’s team presents a completely different challenge. Even though West Ham is a strong opponent, they have not managed to keep a clean sheet in a top-flight away game since April. It is likely that these weaknesses will ultimately cost them the game in North London.

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