Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction & Key Stats | AI Predicts | 26 Dec 2023

The Turf Moor will host Burnley taking on Liverpool in the Gameweek 19 of the English Premier League. The second-best team in the league will go toe to toe with the second worst team in the league. Sit back and relax as we and the AI predict the winner of this game at the end of 90 minutes.

 

Burnley Recent form

After an unproductive first half, Fulham struggled against Burnley at Craven Cottage. Burnley took advantage of Fulham’s missed opportunities, with Wilson Odobert scoring a remarkable curler in the 47th minute. The 19-year-old French player then assisted Sander Berge, who scored with a powerful low drive, securing Burnley’s third victory of the season. This win put them above Sheffield United at the bottom of the table, although they are still three points away from safety. Burnley’s recent away performances, including a commendable 1-1 draw against Brighton & Hove Albion, ended a winless streak dating back to October 3. The team has collected seven of their 11 Premier League points in December, which also includes a 5-0 win against Sheffield United, breaking their seven-game losing streak at home. However, Burnley has struggled in their previous Boxing Day fixtures, losing five out of their last seven games. They hope to break this trend as they face their bitter rivals from Merseyside, Everton, in their upcoming match.


Liverpool Recent form

The highly-anticipated match between Liverpool and Manchester United at Anfield did not live up to expectations. However, spectators were treated to an exciting game between Liverpool and Arsenal, where Gabriel Magalhaes scored the quickest-ever Premier League goal for Arsenal at Anfield, just four minutes into the match.

Despite this early setback, Liverpool fought back with a goal from Mohamed Salah. However, they were left disappointed due to questionable officiating and their own missed opportunities. Martin Odegaard escaped a penalty for handball in the box, and a promising counter-attack by Liverpool ended with Trent Alexander-Arnold hitting the crossbar.

Liverpool manager, Jurgen Klopp, was particularly angry about the Odegaard decision. However, looking at the statistics, a draw seems like a fair result. The draw allowed Liverpool to reclaim second place in the table from Aston Villa and prevented Arsenal from extending their lead at the top.

As Arsenal’s next match is not until Thursday, Liverpool has the opportunity to take the top spot in the league with a win against Burnley. However, this is only possible if Aston Villa also defeat Manchester United by a significant margin. The draw against Arsenal extended Liverpool’s unbeaten run in the Premier League to 11 games.

Arsenal has been in good form, scoring in each of their last 13 away matches in the Premier League and winning their last three meetings with Burnley. Burnley, on the other hand, will be aiming to become the first newly-promoted team to defeat Liverpool in a Boxing Day Premier League match.


Key stats

  • Liverpool holds an exceptional away record at Turf Moor, winning seven out of eight Premier League games, marking an 88% win rate against sides they’ve faced at least five times in the competition.
  • Burnley has only secured two victories in 16 Premier League encounters against Liverpool, with both wins coming in separate home and away games.
  • Burnley’s struggle at home this season is evident, having lost eight out of nine Premier League matches at Turf Moor, collecting five more points in away games than at their home ground.
  • The Clarets’ recent Boxing Day record shows a trend of five losses in seven league games, with their lone victory in this period dating back to 2016 against Middlesbrough.
  • Wilson Odobert, at 19 years and 25 days old, achieved a milestone as the youngest Burnley player to score and assist in a Premier League match during their win over Fulham.
  • Mohamed Salah, despite his prolific away performances, has encountered a goal involvement drought in his last five games against Burnley, marking his lengthiest spell without a contribution against an opponent in the Premier League.

AI Predicts Winner of Burnley vs Liverpool

We gave the stats, recent head-to-head game facts, and current form of both the teams to Natural Language processing AIs (ChatGpt and Bard) and here are the results.

ChatGPT’s prediction¬†– Liverpool Win

“Considering Liverpool’s impressive away record, their consistency in scoring goals on the road, and Burnley’s struggles at home this season, it appears likely that Liverpool might secure a victory. However, Burnley has a history of surprising results against top teams, making the outcome still unpredictable and dependent on game-day performances.”

 

Bards’s prediction 

“Liverpool to take the win. Burnley’s dismal home form (8 home losses), coupled with Liverpool’s strong away record (7 of 8 wins at Turf Moor) and Boxing Day dominance (6 straight wins), favors the Reds.”


Our Experts Predict Winner 

Liverpool has won all of their previous six Premier League matches on Boxing Day, and they are expected to continue their winning streak against Burnley at Turf Moor, despite Burnley’s recent away victory. Burnley should aim to exploit Liverpool’s weakened left-hand side, and although Liverpool may not be in their best form after their intense match against Arsenal, they should still have enough strength to climb to the top of the league table temporarily.


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